Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -11.6 | -5.3 | +19.6 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 16% | 20% | 40% | 24% | -0.1 | -4.4 | +5.5 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 17% | 45% | 22% | -2.0 | -2.9 | +6.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 15% | 51% | 20% | -6.8 | -8.1 | -13.2 | +28.1 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 12% | 10% | 36% | 42% | -26.1 | +3.2 | -4.1 | +27.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 8% | 24% | 67% | -2.5 | -3.8 | -7.4 | +13.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 5% | 13% | 82% | -3.5 | +12.1 | -2.2 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 8% | 13% | 78% | -3.8 | -5.5 | +6.2 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 5% | 14% | 81% | -0.3 | -5.8 | +1.7 | +4.4 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 0% | 11% | 89% | -2.0 | -0.8 | +3.6 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 88% | -2.8 | +14.8 | -14.3 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 1% | 2% | 98% | +1.9 | -6.7 | +7.0 | -2.2 |