Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -10.8 | -3.8 | +19.0 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 17% | 22% | 40% | 22% | -0.6 | -5.7 | +5.4 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 16% | 46% | 22% | -2.0 | -2.8 | +6.5 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 14% | 51% | 20% | -8.1 | -4.3 | -14.6 | +27.0 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 11% | 12% | 36% | 41% | -26.0 | +1.2 | -4.9 | +29.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 8% | 22% | 68% | -1.1 | -4.7 | -4.9 | +10.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 4% | 14% | 80% | -4.3 | +12.1 | -2.9 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 7% | 13% | 78% | -3.4 | -4.6 | +5.4 | +2.5 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 5% | 13% | 82% | 0.0 | -5.1 | -0.6 | +5.7 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 0% | 8% | 92% | -1.5 | -2.9 | +6.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 87% | -3.5 | +15.8 | -14.6 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 1% | 2% | 98% | +1.8 | -6.9 | +7.4 | -2.3 |