Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -5.4 | +4.0 | +2.7 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 21% | 27% | 27% | 25% | -0.7 | +8.8 | -8.2 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 34% | 21% | 25% | -1.0 | +7.3 | -3.0 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 40% | 19% | 22% | -6.8 | -13.4 | -8.6 | +28.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 14% | 27% | 15% | 44% | +1.7 | -31.5 | +31.3 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 10% | 34% | 42% | -5.6 | -2.2 | -8.8 | +16.5 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 7% | 24% | 59% | +24.9 | -7.5 | -4.9 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 6% | 22% | 46% | +7.9 | -0.4 | -2.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 7% | 21% | 39% | -13.6 | +18.7 | -5.9 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 23% | 14% | 20% | 44% | +0.8 | -25.5 | -2.5 | +27.2 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 13% | 1% | 10% | 77% | -7.0 | -17.9 | +31.8 | -6.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 0% | 29% | 62% | +3.9 | -1.0 | -7.8 | +4.9 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 10% | 0% | 17% | 73% | -18.9 | +9.7 | -1.1 | +10.4 |