Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.6 | +4.5 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 21% | 29% | 25% | 25% | -2.0 | +9.6 | -6.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 37% | 21% | 24% | +0.4 | +4.4 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 39% | 20% | 20% | -7.9 | -13.3 | -7.2 | +28.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 15% | 27% | 16% | 43% | -0.2 | -31.3 | +30.1 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 9% | 34% | 44% | -1.4 | -3.3 | -9.6 | +14.3 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 7% | 23% | 58% | +22.0 | -4.9 | -5.6 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 7% | 21% | 46% | +8.1 | -3.3 | -2.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 6% | 19% | 44% | -11.9 | +20.9 | -5.8 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 23% | 15% | 18% | 44% | -0.5 | -27.8 | -0.1 | +28.5 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 1% | 10% | 78% | -7.5 | -16.5 | +30.8 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 0% | 29% | 64% | +5.6 | -0.7 | -8.6 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 11% | 0% | 15% | 74% | -19.7 | +9.3 | +0.1 | +10.3 |