Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+81.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +23.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -13.1 | +21.9 | -3.8 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 40% | 23% | 21% | +6.9 | -4.5 | -2.9 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 38% | 21% | 22% | +5.1 | -2.5 | +1.4 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 23% | 36% | 21% | 20% | +23.8 | -2.2 | -20.0 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 41% | 31% | 10% | 18% | -1.1 | +17.7 | -12.3 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 37% | 47% | 5% | 11% | +12.2 | -14.5 | +0.5 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 52% | 31% | 5% | 12% | +17.0 | -7.9 | -3.8 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 18% | 3% | 8% | +21.8 | -9.2 | -4.5 | -8.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 91% | 6% | 1% | 2% | +0.2 | -10.3 | -1.4 | +11.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 94% | 3% | 1% | 3% | +2.0 | -1.2 | -1.2 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,500 from Hori Shingo | 98% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -1.7 | 0.0 | +2.0 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -0.6 | +13.1 | -8.8 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -6.0 | -17.9 | -4.9 | +28.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +15.1 | -4.7 | -2.5 | -7.9 |