Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/23 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Rumi Nikaido | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -9.9 | -0.1 | +8.8 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% | -1.2 | +6.0 | -4.1 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 29% | 28% | 25% | -16.2 | +48.3 | -15.0 | -17.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 71% | 13% | 10% | +15.1 | -1.5 | 0.0 | -13.6 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 72% | 12% | 7% | +6.7 | +2.7 | -7.1 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 76% | 8% | 5% | -3.7 | +4.2 | +5.3 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 82% | 8% | 2% | -3.3 | +1.9 | -3.1 | +4.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 88% | 5% | 3% | -12.7 | -11.5 | -15.5 | +39.7 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 80% | 5% | 13% | -2.6 | +0.5 | +19.6 | -17.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 81% | 9% | 7% | +22.5 | +2.5 | -16.1 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 3% | 89% | 1% | 7% | -9.2 | -5.0 | -25.8 | +40.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 77% | 0% | 20% | +25.6 | +10.3 | -0.1 | -35.8 |