Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

11/23 Game 1

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +49.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Shiratori Sho● Nikaido Rumi● Sasaki Hisato● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Nikaido● Sasaki● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Rumi
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Nikaido Rumi
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi25%26%25%25%-8.4-0.9+7.5+1.8
East 2Draw18%25%31%26%-0.3+5.7-4.2-1.1
East 2, 1 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 18,00020%29%26%25%-15.8+49.0-14.1-19.1
East 2, 2 honbaNikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken7%72%12%9%+12.5+0.2-0.5-12.2
East 3Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,00010%73%12%6%+6.0+2.3-5.5-2.8
East 4Draw11%78%7%5%-0.3+3.8+2.0-5.5
South 1, 1 honbaDraw10%82%6%2%-5.7+1.0+0.1+4.6
South 2, 2 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 12,0004%87%6%3%-12.6-11.2-16.0+39.8
South 3Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken2%79%5%14%-1.7+0.7+19.0-18.0
South 3, 1 honbaNikaido Rumi tsumo 5,2002%81%8%9%+21.5+3.1-14.1-10.5
South 4Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato4%90%1%5%-8.9-4.3-26.9+40.1
South 4, 1 honbaNikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken2%80%0%18%+25.3+8.9-0.2-34.0

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)