Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/23 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +34.0 | -1.4 | -4.9 | -27.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 21% | 20% | 9% | +3.8 | -3.6 | -3.3 | +3.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 53% | 18% | 18% | 11% | +16.5 | -6.0 | -6.9 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 68% | 13% | 11% | 8% | +12.8 | -4.1 | -4.7 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Aiko Hinata | 80% | 8% | 7% | 5% | +1.3 | -1.2 | +5.1 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 82% | 7% | 7% | 3% | -11.0 | -2.5 | -1.4 | +14.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 76% | 7% | 9% | 7% | +3.7 | -1.2 | -2.8 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 81% | 6% | 6% | 7% | -8.8 | +17.3 | -0.1 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Kanako Maruyama | 74% | 14% | 8% | 5% | +2.2 | -16.3 | +0.5 | +13.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 6% | 7% | 6% | +2.8 | -7.5 | -4.7 | +9.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 1% | 5% | 7% | -11.8 | -12.4 | +39.3 | -15.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 1% | 24% | 6% | +2.7 | -5.7 | -4.4 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 0% | 15% | 8% | +19.8 | -5.2 | -4.7 | -9.8 |