Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/23 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +31.2 | +1.0 | -2.8 | -29.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 22% | 19% | 10% | +4.1 | -2.7 | -4.1 | +2.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 53% | 20% | 17% | 10% | +18.6 | -10.4 | -6.6 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 71% | 11% | 11% | 8% | +11.2 | -3.0 | -3.9 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Hinata Aiko | 80% | 8% | 8% | 5% | -0.1 | +0.5 | +6.1 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 83% | 6% | 8% | 4% | -12.0 | -2.8 | -1.0 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 73% | 8% | 11% | 8% | +5.6 | -0.1 | -4.3 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 81% | 6% | 7% | 7% | -8.7 | +14.7 | 0.0 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Maruyama Kanako | 74% | 12% | 9% | 5% | +2.9 | -14.7 | -0.4 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 81% | 7% | 7% | 5% | +0.4 | -5.7 | -4.6 | +9.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 2% | 7% | 9% | -9.5 | -13.7 | +39.2 | -16.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 71% | 1% | 23% | 6% | +2.3 | -4.7 | -4.6 | +7.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 0% | 14% | 8% | +19.5 | -6.0 | -4.4 | -9.2 |