Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/25 Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +56.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -7.4 | -17.3 | +25.2 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 19% | 13% | 45% | 23% | +1.0 | -13.3 | +13.6 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 18% | 7% | 57% | 19% | +22.5 | -0.4 | -4.3 | -17.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 32% | 6% | 50% | 12% | -3.1 | +0.7 | -0.9 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 7% | 51% | 13% | -1.5 | -1.1 | +7.4 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 27% | 5% | 59% | 8% | +16.8 | -1.0 | -3.1 | -12.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 41% | 4% | 52% | 4% | -23.7 | +19.4 | +7.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 3,000 | 17% | 10% | 69% | 4% | -5.1 | +12.6 | -3.9 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 17% | 63% | 4% | +5.1 | -8.5 | +1.3 | +2.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 9% | 68% | 5% | -16.6 | +56.7 | -31.0 | -9.1 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 77% | 14% | 2% | -5.9 | +13.8 | -1.6 | -6.4 |