Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -3.5 | +5.7 | -2.5 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 23% | 29% | 24% | 25% | +11.9 | -1.8 | -9.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Koshin Asakura | 32% | 27% | 17% | 24% | -4.3 | +10.8 | -8.2 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 28% | 36% | 12% | 25% | -0.2 | +25.2 | -20.7 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 61% | 4% | 15% | -2.0 | +2.2 | +1.4 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 64% | 4% | 14% | +34.5 | -17.4 | -7.3 | -9.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,000 | 53% | 36% | 2% | 9% | +10.1 | -5.8 | -1.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 27% | 2% | 7% | -4.8 | +8.5 | -2.2 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 59% | 34% | 1% | 6% | +15.9 | -14.2 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 12% | 1% | 3% | -5.4 | -7.8 | +24.6 | -11.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 81% | 10% | 4% | 5% | +7.3 | +1.8 | -5.8 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 93% | 5% | 0% | 2% | +2.9 | +1.2 | +7.8 | -11.8 |