Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +60.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -16.2 | -9.2 | +31.6 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 3,000 | 14% | 19% | 49% | 18% | -2.0 | +6.9 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 23% | 47% | 17% | +1.0 | +2.4 | -6.2 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 25% | 41% | 21% | +30.9 | -16.0 | -6.7 | -8.3 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 14% | 36% | 15% | -13.3 | -9.3 | +31.6 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 7% | 66% | 9% | +3.7 | -6.0 | +0.8 | +1.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 19% | 6% | 66% | 9% | +24.6 | +1.0 | -7.6 | -18.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 38% | 5% | 53% | 4% | -3.9 | +1.8 | +0.1 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 5% | 55% | 5% | -8.8 | -10.8 | -10.0 | +29.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 31% | 6% | 48% | 16% | +2.3 | -1.5 | +6.7 | -7.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 31% | 4% | 55% | 10% | -5.3 | -4.3 | +0.9 | +8.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 3% | 58% | 13% | -22.4 | -4.1 | +24.4 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 92% | 6% | +19.4 | -4.2 | -6.8 | -8.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 0% | 88% | 6% | -23.4 | -7.0 | -30.1 | +60.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Kondo Seiichi | 2% | 0% | 30% | 68% | -2.8 | +0.1 | -5.2 | +7.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 17% | 81% | +7.2 | -2.1 | -7.2 | +2.1 |