Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +7.2 | -4.3 | +0.7 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 25% | +22.4 | -6.2 | -9.0 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 47% | 16% | 18% | 19% | +38.7 | -13.1 | -12.3 | -13.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 6% | 6% | 6% | -7.9 | +16.8 | -5.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 6,000 | 76% | 12% | 6% | 6% | -4.0 | +17.7 | -5.9 | -7.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 71% | 20% | 5% | 5% | +3.3 | -21.5 | +18.3 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 78% | 8% | 8% | 5% | +2.2 | -1.9 | -2.2 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 82% | 8% | 6% | 5% | -0.8 | +28.5 | -4.1 | -23.6 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 79% | 17% | 4% | 1% | +1.1 | -18.2 | +17.8 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 84% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +5.8 | -2.0 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 93% | 1% | 5% | 1% | +2.5 | +5.7 | -16.6 | +8.4 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.5 | +8.0 | -0.3 | -7.2 |