Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +4.0 | -1.5 | -0.5 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +24.3 | -8.2 | -8.3 | -7.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 47% | 18% | 17% | 18% | +39.8 | -15.1 | -11.5 | -13.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 6% | 6% | 5% | -8.8 | +18.2 | -3.9 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 6,000 | 77% | 10% | 6% | 6% | -4.3 | +15.1 | -6.6 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 71% | 18% | 4% | 6% | +3.2 | -19.3 | +19.3 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase | 78% | 10% | 9% | 4% | +2.1 | -2.9 | -4.6 | +5.4 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 83% | 7% | 6% | 5% | -1.7 | +28.7 | -2.1 | -24.9 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 77% | 17% | 4% | 1% | +2.1 | -17.4 | +16.7 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 85% | 8% | 7% | 1% | +5.4 | -2.0 | -3.2 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 93% | 2% | 5% | 1% | +2.7 | +4.7 | -15.5 | +8.0 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.4 | +8.9 | -1.0 | -7.5 |