Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 24,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +51.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | -7.1 | +12.5 | -4.3 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 33% | 24% | 24% | -3.5 | -12.4 | +19.6 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 24,000 | 18% | 22% | 38% | 22% | -16.3 | -18.0 | +51.8 | -17.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 16,000 | 4% | 5% | 86% | 6% | -11.5 | -10.5 | -16.3 | +38.3 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 4% | 70% | 24% | -1.9 | +19.1 | +4.4 | -21.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 3% | 7% | 79% | 10% | -7.0 | +2.0 | +4.6 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 7% | 85% | 8% | +0.3 | +1.8 | -0.6 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 7% | 86% | 7% | -8.9 | -3.9 | +2.3 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 2% | 90% | 8% | -0.8 | +17.0 | -9.9 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 6% | 84% | 10% | -0.4 | +3.8 | +10.3 | -13.7 |