Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

11/30 Game 1

Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+48.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +58.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kondo Seiichi● Kobayashi Go● Takizawa Kazunori● Okada Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kondo● Kobayashi● Takizawa● Okada
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKondo Seiichi
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Kondo Seiichi
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka23%27%24%27%+0.3+3.7+1.9-5.9
East 2Draw23%29%26%22%-4.3+4.3-1.6+1.6
East 2, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,00022%31%25%22%-5.0-10.1+14.1+1.0
East 3Draw19%23%34%25%-4.9+1.4+3.4+0.1
East 3, 1 honbaDraw15%25%37%24%+0.6+8.0-4.7-3.9
East 4, 2 honbaKondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka16%30%32%22%+18.5-0.1+0.9-19.3
South 1Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,10027%29%33%11%-2.2-1.2+1.9+1.5
South 2Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi24%29%35%12%-8.6+8.7-0.8+0.7
South 2, 1 honbaDraw18%35%34%13%-1.2-1.4-0.4+3.0
South 3, 2 honbaDraw18%34%34%14%-2.0+1.7-2.3+2.6
South 4, 3 honbaKondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go19%34%30%17%+58.4-33.1-3.7-21.5

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)