Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/30 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+48.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +59.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.3 | +5.7 | +0.8 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 28% | 25% | 24% | -2.4 | +2.5 | -1.4 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 31% | 25% | 24% | -3.5 | -8.2 | +14.8 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 23% | 34% | 22% | -7.6 | +2.3 | +2.6 | +2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 24% | 37% | 24% | +0.9 | +7.4 | -5.0 | -3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 15% | 31% | 33% | 21% | +19.0 | -1.2 | +1.8 | -19.6 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 30% | 34% | 11% | -3.2 | +0.9 | +1.2 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 24% | 29% | 36% | 12% | -7.4 | +7.2 | -0.2 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 36% | 35% | 11% | -2.7 | -1.3 | -0.2 | +4.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 35% | 34% | 14% | -1.3 | +2.3 | -3.8 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 36% | 27% | 18% | +59.0 | -33.7 | -3.2 | -22.0 |