Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +7.8 | -3.4 | -3.9 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,500 | 32% | 21% | 23% | 25% | +3.2 | +1.1 | -0.9 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 34% | 23% | 22% | 21% | -23.5 | -1.5 | +1.1 | +23.9 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 21% | 23% | 40% | -9.2 | -16.9 | +33.2 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 10% | 48% | 32% | -4.3 | +1.9 | -4.0 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,200 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 11% | 44% | 36% | +10.8 | -11.9 | +4.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 13% | 6% | 49% | 32% | -22.0 | +1.1 | +22.4 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 3% | 76% | 21% | -1.9 | -1.9 | +5.4 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 85% | 14% | +5.2 | +4.3 | +16.9 | -26.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -21.1 | +2.5 | -1.4 | +20.0 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -2.9 | +0.2 | +4.6 | -1.9 |