Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +3.8 | +0.2 | -3.0 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 1,500 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +7.0 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 34% | 22% | 22% | 22% | -23.4 | +0.4 | +0.6 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 21% | 21% | 41% | -9.9 | -18.3 | +35.4 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 10% | 49% | 30% | -4.3 | +2.0 | -2.6 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,200 from Shingo Hori | 9% | 10% | 47% | 34% | +10.1 | -10.7 | +1.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 13% | 6% | 49% | 32% | -22.7 | +2.7 | +20.7 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 5% | 73% | 22% | -0.1 | -4.5 | +6.4 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 0% | 84% | 15% | +4.5 | +5.3 | +17.5 | -27.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -21.2 | +1.5 | -1.1 | +20.9 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -2.5 | +0.3 | +4.5 | -2.4 |