Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/2 Game 1

Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+80.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +53.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance	Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance	Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change	Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change	Aki Nikaido Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change
East 1	Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido	26%	24%	24%	25%	-3.0	-1.2	-6.8	+11.0
East 2	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 3,000	23%	24%	20%	32%	-3.6	+8.0	-0.3	-4.2
East 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	21%	30%	20%	29%	+2.7	-4.9	+4.0	-1.9
East 3, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	23%	26%	23%	28%	-5.6	-3.7	+3.8	+5.5
East 3, 3 honba	Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000	18%	23%	26%	33%	-15.0	-11.6	+41.5	-14.9
East 3, 4 honba	Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000	9%	13%	61%	17%	-6.3	-11.4	+27.0	-9.2
East 3, 5 honba	Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki	3%	3%	87%	7%	-2.6	+14.7	-0.3	-11.7
East 4	Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori	3%	5%	88%	4%	-0.5	-5.9	+6.6	-0.2
South 1	Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,900	1%	3%	93%	2%	+8.6	-4.2	-1.0	-3.4
South 1, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	2%	2%	94%	2%	-12.7	-5.2	-2.0	+20.0
South 2	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000	0%	3%	94%	3%	-7.2	-26.5	-19.3	+53.1
South 3	Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido	0%	0%	59%	41%	+9.3	-3.5	-18.4	+12.6
South 4	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000	0%	0%	28%	72%	-5.5	-6.5	-17.0	+29.0
South 4, 1 honba	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000	0%	0%	0%	100%	-19.1	+25.6	-1.4	-5.0

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)