Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+122.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Asakura Koshin ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -1.2 | -21.5 | +22.3 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 21% | 14% | 40% | 25% | +0.8 | -3.0 | -1.2 | +3.5 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,400 | 23% | 11% | 40% | 26% | -2.7 | +16.7 | -10.5 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 20% | 31% | 26% | -4.3 | -0.8 | -1.0 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 19% | 31% | 31% | -5.2 | -6.8 | -8.0 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 14% | 23% | 47% | +0.4 | -39.8 | -2.7 | +42.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 1% | 8% | 87% | -3.1 | -2.3 | -5.9 | +11.3 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 3% | 95% | +1.5 | -2.0 | -1.4 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 3% | 95% | -5.8 | -5.6 | +18.6 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 2% | 0% | 7% | 91% | -14.9 | +0.2 | +3.7 | +11.1 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -1.4 | -2.1 | +3.0 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 97% | +0.5 | -1.4 | -4.3 | +5.3 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -8.1 | -7.7 | -8.1 | +23.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.2 | -3.6 | -3.4 | +10.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.4 | -1.6 | 0.0 | -3.8 |