Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+53.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +74.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -7.3 | +12.4 | -1.7 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 32% | 24% | 23% | -0.9 | -0.6 | -3.0 | +4.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 16,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 21% | 31% | 21% | 26% | -0.3 | -43.9 | -0.8 | +44.9 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 5% | 14% | 67% | -2.9 | -1.7 | +8.8 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 5% | 19% | 63% | -20.9 | +31.6 | -7.3 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 17% | 16% | 63% | -2.7 | +3.7 | -3.2 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 19% | 14% | 63% | +35.7 | -18.8 | -11.4 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 20% | 8% | 12% | 60% | +1.4 | -17.2 | -1.7 | +17.5 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 1% | 2% | 88% | -21.7 | -10.9 | +74.5 | -41.9 |