Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+73.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -18.8 | +34.6 | -6.9 | -8.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 52% | 19% | 17% | +2.7 | -2.7 | -4.4 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 51% | 17% | 20% | -10.4 | -16.8 | +38.4 | -11.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 32% | 44% | 14% | -2.1 | +2.0 | -1.1 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 9% | 33% | 44% | 14% | -8.8 | -0.5 | +13.5 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 29% | 58% | 9% | -24.1 | +32.4 | -8.8 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 62% | 34% | 4% | -1.2 | -1.3 | -3.8 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 65% | 29% | 6% | +0.9 | -4.9 | +4.5 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 57% | 36% | 7% | -0.3 | -4.4 | +10.0 | -5.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 47% | 50% | 4% | -3.8 | +34.6 | -27.0 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | +0.2 | -0.8 | -28.0 | +28.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | +1.8 | +2.1 | -3.8 | -0.1 |