Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/6 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +9.9 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 32% | 24% | 22% | 23% | -26.8 | +1.2 | +1.6 | +23.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 14% | 23% | 23% | 41% | -1.1 | -15.8 | +16.2 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 14% | 13% | 33% | 40% | +27.1 | -4.4 | -23.9 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 12% | 17% | 42% | -6.9 | +26.1 | -7.0 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 26% | 27% | 15% | 32% | -6.4 | +3.1 | -2.1 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 28% | 14% | 36% | +3.9 | +1.8 | -2.3 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 30% | 13% | 35% | -17.6 | +48.3 | -14.4 | -16.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 83% | 3% | 11% | -8.0 | -14.6 | -6.2 | +28.9 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 63% | 3% | 33% | +0.5 | +11.0 | -7.3 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 82% | 0% | 18% | +9.5 | +6.0 | -4.1 | -11.4 |