Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/6 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +7.2 | -1.8 | -2.3 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 31% | 23% | 23% | 23% | -22.9 | -0.3 | -1.2 | +24.4 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 16% | 23% | 20% | 41% | -3.3 | -15.8 | +18.7 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 13% | 12% | 33% | 42% | +25.7 | -2.4 | -24.5 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 12% | 16% | 43% | -6.8 | +23.2 | -4.6 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 14% | 35% | -4.0 | +3.4 | -5.4 | +6.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 13% | 39% | +2.4 | +4.1 | -1.8 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 31% | 12% | 35% | -16.1 | +48.3 | -14.0 | -18.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 85% | 3% | 9% | -8.6 | -15.4 | -6.0 | +30.0 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 64% | 3% | 31% | -0.4 | +10.7 | -7.1 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 81% | 0% | 19% | +9.9 | +5.9 | -3.7 | -12.1 |