Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/6 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +44.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Yuumi Uotani● Sayaka Okada● Takaya Matsugase● Jun Murakami0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Sayaka● Takaya● Jun
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Takaya Matsugase
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Takaya Matsugase
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
East 1Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,00026%24%23%27%-23.0-10.1+44.6-11.4
East 2Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami10%15%60%14%+1.0-1.6+20.1-19.5
East 3Exhaustive draw7%7%81%5%-1.3-1.8+2.2+0.8
East 3, 1 honbaTakaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada6%7%83%5%-17.9+21.7-0.9-3.0
East 4Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,4002%13%81%4%+10.6-2.6+1.1-9.2
South 1Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,0002%11%85%2%+15.1-5.4-4.0-5.6
South 1, 1 honbaSayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase6%10%82%2%+10.5-9.1-0.2-1.2
South 1, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada9%8%82%1%-7.5-0.6+7.1+1.0
South 2Jun Murakami tsumo 12,0003%5%91%1%-6.2-24.1-1.1+31.4
South 3Sayaka Okada ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani1%0%95%3%+10.7-5.0-3.4-2.3
South 4Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,7000%0%97%3%+11.4-6.7+1.3-6.0

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)