Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/6 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -23.0 | -10.1 | +44.6 | -11.4 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 10% | 15% | 60% | 14% | +1.0 | -1.6 | +20.1 | -19.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 7% | 81% | 5% | -1.3 | -1.8 | +2.2 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 6% | 7% | 83% | 5% | -17.9 | +21.7 | -0.9 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,400 | 2% | 13% | 81% | 4% | +10.6 | -2.6 | +1.1 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 11% | 85% | 2% | +15.1 | -5.4 | -4.0 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 6% | 10% | 82% | 2% | +10.5 | -9.1 | -0.2 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 9% | 8% | 82% | 1% | -7.5 | -0.6 | +7.1 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 5% | 91% | 1% | -6.2 | -24.1 | -1.1 | +31.4 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 0% | 95% | 3% | +10.7 | -5.0 | -3.4 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +11.4 | -6.7 | +1.3 | -6.0 |