Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -22.0 | -10.7 | -8.1 | +40.8 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 9% | 16% | 15% | 59% | +10.9 | -2.5 | -10.5 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 13% | 11% | 62% | -1.1 | +3.7 | -4.8 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 12% | 13% | 9% | 66% | +7.5 | -2.1 | -3.8 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 11% | 6% | 67% | +1.8 | +3.1 | -7.5 | +2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 15% | 12% | 4% | 69% | +35.6 | -31.2 | +2.9 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 42% | 2% | 3% | 52% | -6.1 | -1.4 | +0.5 | +7.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 3% | 3% | 62% | +30.2 | -12.4 | -1.4 | -16.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 73% | 0% | 2% | 25% | -1.0 | +1.6 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 72% | 0% | 2% | 26% | -34.1 | -1.7 | -1.2 | +36.9 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 91% | -4.4 | -4.4 | +8.5 | +0.3 |