Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -21.5 | -10.8 | -10.7 | +43.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 10% | 14% | 15% | 60% | +9.2 | -3.8 | -7.9 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 11% | 12% | 64% | -2.1 | +6.3 | -5.4 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 14% | 8% | 67% | +9.0 | -1.0 | -5.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 13% | 6% | 66% | +1.5 | +1.7 | -6.5 | +3.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 15% | 13% | 4% | 68% | +34.8 | -30.6 | +2.6 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 3% | 3% | 52% | -4.4 | -2.9 | -0.3 | +7.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 2% | 3% | 62% | +29.8 | -11.2 | -1.4 | -17.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 73% | 0% | 1% | 25% | -1.7 | +1.3 | -0.1 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 71% | 0% | 1% | 28% | -33.3 | -2.5 | +0.6 | +35.2 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 90% | -4.7 | -3.9 | +7.9 | +0.7 |