Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/7 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asakura Koshin tsumo 24,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +55.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +55.5 | -18.7 | -16.8 | -20.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 71% | 10% | 11% | 9% | -3.4 | -4.7 | +9.1 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 9% | 13% | 9% | -1.5 | -11.7 | -5.3 | +18.5 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 5% | 11% | 16% | -10.2 | -10.2 | +29.5 | -9.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 56% | 3% | 28% | 13% | +13.7 | +1.0 | -17.4 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 6,000 | 73% | 2% | 12% | 12% | -3.2 | -2.7 | -5.8 | +11.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 70% | 3% | 10% | 17% | +5.4 | -1.7 | +1.8 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 77% | 2% | 11% | 11% | -2.3 | -0.6 | +5.8 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 2% | 12% | 9% | -5.8 | +24.5 | -10.9 | -7.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 7% | 10% | 10% | -1.8 | -18.5 | -6.9 | +27.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 72% | 1% | 7% | 21% | -12.2 | +18.2 | -11.4 | +5.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 63% | 5% | 3% | 29% | +16.7 | +6.3 | -12.1 | -10.9 |