Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/7 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Koshin Asakura tsumo 24,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +58.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 24,000 | 22% | 24% | 27% | 27% | +58.8 | -18.4 | -20.8 | -19.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 10% | 9% | 10% | -4.1 | -2.9 | +10.7 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 8% | 13% | 9% | -2.5 | -11.6 | -4.8 | +18.9 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 5% | 12% | 16% | -9.7 | -8.3 | +26.4 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 57% | 3% | 26% | 14% | +14.3 | +0.3 | -14.7 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 6,000 | 74% | 3% | 13% | 10% | -4.9 | -4.1 | -4.5 | +13.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 69% | 2% | 12% | 17% | +6.5 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,000 | 78% | 2% | 9% | 11% | -2.8 | -1.6 | +5.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 2% | 11% | 10% | -5.0 | +23.6 | -10.2 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 7% | 9% | 10% | -2.1 | -17.0 | -6.9 | +26.0 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 73% | 1% | 6% | 20% | -12.2 | +17.5 | -10.5 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 5% | 3% | 29% | +16.5 | +6.3 | -12.1 | -10.7 |