Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.9 | -4.7 | +2.2 | +8.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 22% | 25% | 31% | -14.6 | +50.0 | -17.5 | -17.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 64% | 12% | 15% | -2.0 | +3.4 | +1.4 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 9% | 67% | 12% | 12% | -15.6 | -4.2 | -1.0 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 62% | 10% | 23% | -13.6 | -17.2 | +44.3 | -13.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 41% | 40% | 16% | +0.6 | -1.3 | +5.7 | -5.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 39% | 45% | 13% | -7.4 | -8.6 | -21.8 | +37.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 32% | 25% | 41% | -5.0 | -12.3 | -13.0 | +30.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 14% | 11% | 75% | -0.1 | -6.9 | +7.5 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 10% | 13% | 76% | +2.8 | -2.7 | -1.7 | +1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 8% | 12% | 79% | +1.8 | +1.4 | +2.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 11% | 15% | 73% | -7.5 | -5.1 | -4.0 | +16.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 4% | 7% | 89% | +0.6 | -4.4 | +2.4 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -2.2 | -4.1 | +9.0 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 91% | -3.0 | +28.3 | -24.2 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 4% | 1% | 96% | -0.1 | +7.2 | -7.8 | +0.6 |