Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/9 Game 1

Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +37.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance	Aiko Hinata Expected pt change	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change
East 1	Exhaustive draw	26%	25%	25%	24%	-3.5	-1.4	-2.5	+7.4
East 2, 1 honba	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000	23%	24%	24%	29%	-18.2	+48.3	-13.6	-16.4
East 2, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	9%	64%	12%	14%	-0.3	+1.3	+0.9	-1.9
East 2, 3 honba	Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata	9%	66%	12%	13%	-16.4	-3.1	-0.6	+20.1
East 3	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000	4%	61%	12%	23%	-11.3	-17.0	+43.1	-14.8
East 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	2%	41%	42%	15%	-1.2	-2.4	+5.7	-2.1
East 3, 2 honba	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	2%	38%	46%	14%	-6.2	-7.9	-23.0	+37.2
East 4	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	1%	32%	24%	43%	-5.2	-12.8	-11.0	+29.0
East 4, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo	1%	15%	11%	74%	+0.1	-6.4	+6.6	-0.2
South 1	Exhaustive draw	1%	11%	13%	75%	+3.0	-2.3	-2.0	+1.3
South 1, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	1%	10%	12%	77%	+2.4	+0.3	+2.3	-5.0
South 1, 2 honba	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200	2%	11%	16%	72%	-9.0	-3.1	-4.3	+16.5
South 2	Exhaustive draw	0%	4%	7%	89%	+1.2	-5.6	+3.5	+0.9
South 3, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,100	0%	1%	6%	93%	-2.3	-4.8	+8.5	-1.5
South 3, 2 honba	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	0%	0%	8%	92%	-3.1	+29.3	-24.8	-1.4
South 4	Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa	0%	3%	0%	96%	-0.1	+6.8	-7.1	+0.4

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)