Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -5.5 | -0.7 | +8.0 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 20% | 25% | 30% | 24% | +1.0 | +32.7 | -1.8 | -31.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 49% | 25% | 8% | -2.3 | +5.2 | -0.7 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 15% | 54% | 24% | 7% | -2.0 | +1.4 | -3.1 | +3.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 14% | 56% | 22% | 8% | +13.5 | -7.5 | -2.2 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 49% | 21% | 7% | +2.5 | +9.8 | -4.4 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 59% | 14% | 5% | -3.1 | +0.3 | -0.8 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Honda Tomohiro | 21% | 60% | 15% | 4% | -23.4 | +1.2 | -0.6 | +22.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 64% | 14% | 12% | +1.5 | +19.8 | -20.2 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 5% | 86% | 4% | 5% | -6.2 | -4.3 | +13.0 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 85% | 7% | 5% | -2.1 | +4.0 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 88% | 6% | 4% | -4.9 | -4.3 | -9.3 | +18.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 87% | 4% | 7% | -5.2 | +1.4 | -5.3 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 91% | 0% | 9% | -11.6 | +6.3 | +6.0 | -0.7 |