Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -11.8 | -2.6 | +21.9 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 21% | 43% | 19% | -14.6 | +43.7 | -15.5 | -13.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 55% | 25% | 12% | -1.0 | -0.8 | -0.2 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 9% | 56% | 24% | 12% | -1.0 | +8.8 | -2.9 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 67% | 17% | 9% | -10.3 | -11.2 | -11.1 | +32.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 16,000 | 5% | 54% | 15% | 26% | +42.9 | -6.3 | -9.5 | -27.1 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 50% | 12% | 12% | -2.4 | -0.5 | -22.3 | +25.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 47% | 5% | 26% | +8.7 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 27% | 46% | 4% | 22% | -13.1 | +9.1 | -7.6 | +11.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 62% | 0% | 24% | +0.1 | +17.4 | -1.0 | -16.5 |