Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +45.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -12.8 | -5.2 | +23.4 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 20% | 42% | 22% | -13.1 | +45.1 | -15.2 | -16.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 57% | 25% | 10% | -0.2 | -0.4 | -3.2 | +3.8 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 8% | 58% | 22% | 12% | -1.3 | +7.1 | 0.0 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 65% | 19% | 9% | -7.5 | -10.9 | -12.0 | +30.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 16,000 | 6% | 54% | 14% | 26% | +40.2 | -5.6 | -11.4 | -23.2 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 50% | 11% | 13% | -2.5 | +0.4 | -20.3 | +22.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 21% | 50% | 4% | 25% | +8.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 27% | 46% | 5% | 22% | -11.9 | +8.2 | -7.5 | +11.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 14% | 63% | 0% | 24% | -0.5 | +17.8 | -1.2 | -16.1 |