Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 24,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +66.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +21.9 | -6.6 | -5.2 | -10.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 43% | 19% | 21% | 17% | +14.7 | -6.1 | -5.3 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 56% | 14% | 15% | 15% | -2.1 | -3.5 | +7.4 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 54% | 13% | 19% | 13% | +10.4 | -9.8 | -0.8 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 66% | 7% | 16% | 12% | +9.5 | -4.3 | -2.8 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 77% | 5% | 10% | 9% | +1.3 | +19.6 | +0.4 | -21.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 80% | 8% | 9% | 3% | +9.0 | +0.6 | +0.5 | -10.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 6% | 6% | 1% | -7.8 | -9.6 | -9.7 | +27.2 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 24,000 | 84% | 5% | 6% | 5% | -28.8 | +66.4 | -20.6 | -17.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 60% | 3% | 2% | +21.1 | -18.0 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 68% | 28% | 2% | 2% | -0.6 | +1.2 | -3.5 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,700 | 71% | 28% | 0% | 2% | -28.7 | +33.6 | -11.1 | +6.1 |