Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +44.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -12.0 | -7.7 | +30.0 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 14% | 18% | 50% | 18% | -10.4 | -1.2 | +0.5 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 9% | 17% | 51% | 23% | -0.9 | -4.0 | +7.9 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,400 | 8% | 13% | 60% | 19% | +17.5 | -5.1 | -8.4 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 17% | 12% | 52% | 20% | -8.3 | +10.8 | +3.1 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 11% | 17% | 57% | 15% | +6.7 | -6.0 | +1.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 14% | 57% | 15% | +7.1 | -2.9 | -3.5 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 13% | 53% | 15% | -22.8 | +44.1 | -10.5 | -10.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 46% | 39% | 10% | +29.0 | -17.6 | -3.6 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 23% | 30% | 38% | 9% | +2.3 | +36.9 | -34.7 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 11% | 80% | 4% | 5% | +2.1 | +9.8 | -1.4 | -10.5 |