Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -15.7 | -8.0 | +30.9 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 13% | 19% | 50% | 18% | -8.7 | -3.6 | +2.0 | +10.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 16% | 52% | 23% | -1.9 | -2.7 | +7.1 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,400 | 9% | 13% | 58% | 21% | +16.7 | -6.1 | -7.0 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 17% | 11% | 52% | 21% | -6.2 | +10.5 | +4.0 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 15% | 60% | 13% | +6.7 | -4.6 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 13% | 57% | 14% | +6.8 | -1.9 | -2.8 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 14% | 53% | 14% | -24.2 | +43.0 | -9.4 | -9.4 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 46% | 40% | 9% | +32.3 | -17.3 | -4.3 | -10.6 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 29% | 38% | 7% | -1.1 | +37.2 | -36.0 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 80% | 3% | 5% | +3.1 | +9.5 | -0.2 | -12.4 |