Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 26% | 26% | 26% | -14.6 | -7.7 | -12.8 | +35.1 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 12% | 18% | 15% | 54% | +13.5 | -4.1 | -10.6 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 14% | 12% | 55% | -8.0 | +5.6 | -1.1 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 17% | 10% | 59% | -21.1 | +22.9 | -3.0 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Kobayashi Go | 6% | 30% | 7% | 58% | 0.0 | +20.4 | +0.3 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 5% | 54% | 7% | 33% | +0.7 | -1.5 | +4.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 55% | 9% | 30% | -3.4 | +24.5 | +0.8 | -22.0 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 86% | 5% | 8% | +17.1 | -3.5 | -10.7 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 87% | 3% | 8% | +12.3 | +3.7 | -11.7 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 1% | 95% | 0% | 4% | +9.8 | +2.4 | -5.4 | -6.8 |