Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -17.7 | -9.2 | -8.9 | +35.8 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 13% | 16% | 17% | 54% | +13.6 | -2.6 | -14.6 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 13% | 10% | 58% | -6.8 | +3.6 | +2.5 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 16% | 11% | 58% | -21.0 | +27.2 | -4.8 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Go Kobayashi | 6% | 32% | 7% | 55% | -2.5 | +19.3 | +0.7 | -17.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 55% | 6% | 33% | +1.1 | -2.3 | +5.5 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 6% | 55% | 9% | 30% | -1.8 | +25.0 | -0.6 | -22.6 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 87% | 5% | 8% | +15.7 | -3.0 | -10.9 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 88% | 3% | 7% | +12.9 | +2.5 | -10.7 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 1% | 93% | 0% | 5% | +9.1 | +3.0 | -5.5 | -6.6 |