Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -13.4 | -5.2 | -5.3 | +23.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 16% | 20% | 22% | 43% | +0.6 | -1.6 | -19.8 | +20.8 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 13% | 14% | 10% | 63% | +15.9 | 0.0 | -18.1 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 19% | 13% | 3% | 65% | -13.1 | +2.5 | +10.8 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 15% | 5% | 67% | -5.3 | +4.7 | -2.3 | +2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 14% | 5% | 74% | +30.2 | -20.7 | -6.2 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 3% | 5% | 69% | -1.9 | +3.0 | +2.6 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 6% | 5% | 64% | -2.2 | -2.0 | +5.8 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 6% | 7% | 62% | +32.8 | -1.7 | -10.2 | -20.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 1% | 0% | 23% | +9.5 | +0.8 | -0.7 | -9.7 |