Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | -5.0 | -5.7 | +21.7 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 16% | 20% | 20% | 44% | -0.7 | -1.2 | -18.4 | +20.3 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 12% | 16% | 10% | 62% | +17.0 | -1.0 | -17.1 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 20% | 13% | 4% | 63% | -13.4 | +0.7 | +10.3 | +2.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 13% | 12% | 5% | 70% | -5.3 | +6.0 | -3.6 | +2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 14% | 4% | 75% | +30.6 | -18.2 | -6.5 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 25% | 4% | 4% | 67% | -3.1 | +1.6 | +2.7 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 6% | 4% | 66% | -1.2 | -2.6 | +7.5 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 6% | 8% | 61% | +33.1 | -1.5 | -11.2 | -20.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 77% | 1% | 0% | 22% | +8.6 | +0.8 | -0.5 | -9.0 |