Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/14 Game 2

Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+80.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 18,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +46.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance	Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change	Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change	Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	25%	23%	26%	26%	-2.3	+1.6	-0.5	+1.1
East 2, 1 honba	Maruyama Kanako tsumo 18,000	23%	25%	26%	27%	-16.5	+46.2	-15.3	-14.4
East 2, 2 honba	Draw	11%	63%	12%	14%	-3.5	+2.5	+0.8	+0.2
East 2, 3 honba	Maruyama Kanako ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori	9%	66%	12%	13%	-1.6	+6.4	+1.7	-6.5
East 2, 4 honba	Draw	7%	73%	11%	9%	-2.2	+4.6	-1.5	-0.8
East 2, 5 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	6%	76%	10%	8%	+26.4	-1.3	-2.0	-23.1
East 3	Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	13%	75%	8%	4%	-1.0	+14.5	-0.5	-13.0
East 4	Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000	7%	89%	3%	1%	-1.6	+0.1	+7.5	-6.0
South 1	Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki	6%	90%	4%	0%	-9.2	+1.8	+2.6	+4.8
South 2	Maruyama Kanako ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	1%	96%	3%	0%	-1.0	+14.5	-0.3	-13.2
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	0%	99%	1%	0%	-0.7	+0.3	+0.8	-0.4
South 2, 2 honba	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 16,000	0%	99%	1%	0%	-4.9	-9.4	-6.5	+20.8
South 3	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700	0%	98%	1%	0%	+8.3	+0.3	-6.6	-2.0
South 4	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,100	0%	100%	0%	0%	+9.5	+0.3	-4.1	-5.7

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)