Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+71.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 4 honba: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +14.5 | -3.6 | -13.7 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 23% | 16% | 25% | +1.4 | -3.3 | +5.5 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,500 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 37% | 21% | 19% | 23% | +9.7 | +0.7 | -8.7 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Kayamori Sayaka | 44% | 21% | 14% | 21% | +21.4 | -0.6 | +0.8 | -21.6 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 64% | 16% | 12% | 9% | +24.7 | -0.3 | -27.3 | +2.9 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Draw | 84% | 9% | 2% | 5% | +2.8 | -0.9 | +1.5 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 6 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 8% | 2% | 4% | +18.0 | -7.5 | -4.8 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 7 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 1% | -6.1 | -7.1 | -6.1 | +19.3 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,000 | 94% | 2% | 1% | 3% | -2.4 | +12.9 | -4.8 | -5.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 4% | 0% | 3% | -0.8 | -9.1 | -5.4 | +15.3 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 18,000 from Hinata Aiko | 94% | 2% | 0% | 4% | -29.1 | -5.4 | +30.9 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 74% | 6% | 5% | 16% | +5.1 | +2.0 | -2.9 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 81% | 5% | 3% | 12% | -2.3 | -14.9 | +0.4 | +16.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 75% | 2% | 3% | 20% | +3.1 | +4.1 | -2.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 82% | 3% | 2% | 13% | -7.2 | +1.5 | +0.1 | +5.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 3% | 3% | 19% | -8.8 | +35.9 | -12.8 | -14.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Draw | 66% | 18% | 2% | 14% | -4.3 | +4.0 | +1.1 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 60% | 22% | 2% | 16% | +18.8 | -4.8 | -0.6 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 6% | 2% | 5% | -0.9 | -8.7 | -9.1 | +18.8 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 88% | 2% | 0% | 10% | +12.9 | +10.9 | +0.5 | -24.3 |