Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 16,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +29.2 | -2.0 | -1.4 | -25.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 47% | 21% | 21% | 11% | +9.5 | +0.8 | -0.1 | -10.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 55% | 20% | 20% | 6% | -2.7 | +5.7 | -1.2 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 53% | 22% | 19% | 6% | -2.3 | +4.7 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 50% | 26% | 18% | 6% | -1.1 | -3.7 | +7.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 49% | 23% | 23% | 6% | +19.6 | -14.4 | -5.8 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 73% | 10% | 12% | 5% | -2.7 | -2.1 | +13.5 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 69% | 9% | 20% | 2% | +2.6 | 0.0 | -6.3 | +3.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 77% | 8% | 14% | 2% | +2.7 | -6.7 | +6.1 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 82% | 2% | 14% | 2% | -5.6 | -1.1 | +6.6 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Tojyo Rio | 74% | 2% | 21% | 2% | +9.6 | -3.8 | -4.5 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 16,000 | 92% | 0% | 7% | 1% | -40.4 | -2.5 | +55.7 | -12.8 |