Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 16,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +55.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +31.7 | -1.9 | -0.9 | -29.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 47% | 22% | 21% | 10% | +9.4 | -0.8 | +1.1 | -9.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 55% | 19% | 21% | 6% | -3.7 | +7.2 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 52% | 24% | 18% | 6% | -2.5 | +6.0 | -0.6 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 28% | 18% | 6% | +0.2 | -5.7 | +7.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo | 50% | 23% | 22% | 5% | +19.1 | -14.2 | -4.1 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 11% | 14% | 4% | -1.6 | -3.3 | +11.2 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 70% | 9% | 19% | 2% | +3.3 | +0.1 | -6.8 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 7% | 13% | 2% | +0.3 | -6.3 | +8.6 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi | 80% | 2% | 16% | 2% | -4.3 | -1.5 | +5.3 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Rio Tojyo | 75% | 2% | 21% | 2% | +9.5 | -3.3 | -4.4 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 16,000 | 92% | 0% | 7% | 1% | -40.6 | -2.6 | +55.5 | -12.3 |