Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/20 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +56.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -4.1 | -0.2 | -4.1 | +8.3 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 24% | 23% | 31% | +1.7 | -2.0 | -3.5 | +3.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 20% | 33% | -2.4 | +8.1 | -4.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 28% | 17% | 32% | -6.9 | -6.0 | +29.0 | -16.2 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 18% | 23% | 40% | 20% | -2.5 | +28.8 | -26.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 51% | 17% | 19% | -11.3 | -23.1 | -13.3 | +47.7 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 6% | 18% | 10% | 66% | +23.2 | -3.6 | -26.6 | +7.0 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 10% | 10% | 0% | 79% | +56.8 | -23.7 | -0.8 | -32.3 |