Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +32.0 | -0.6 | -31.0 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 47% | 22% | 9% | 22% | -0.7 | -1.6 | +24.3 | -22.0 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 22% | 18% | 12% | -8.9 | -17.7 | -5.5 | +32.1 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,700 | 40% | 12% | 17% | 31% | +0.9 | +7.7 | -8.1 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 6,000 | 41% | 16% | 12% | 31% | -5.5 | -6.1 | -5.5 | +17.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 7,700 from Asakura Koshin | 34% | 12% | 9% | 45% | -2.5 | -16.9 | +0.6 | +18.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,400 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 5% | 6% | 64% | -8.6 | +0.5 | +1.2 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 18% | 5% | 6% | 72% | +1.3 | +2.3 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 4% | 6% | 73% | -21.5 | +36.7 | -12.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 17% | 4% | 73% | -1.5 | -11.9 | -4.1 | +17.5 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 1% | 2% | 2% | 95% | +0.7 | -10.0 | +8.8 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | +1.6 | +3.2 | -8.4 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.7 | +15.5 | -5.8 | -3.0 |