Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 22% | 26% | 26% | +29.8 | +1.8 | -30.7 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 49% | 22% | 9% | 21% | -1.2 | -1.5 | +24.8 | -22.1 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 21% | 19% | 11% | -9.4 | -16.2 | -9.1 | +34.6 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,700 | 39% | 14% | 15% | 32% | +1.6 | +6.5 | -6.6 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,000 | 42% | 15% | 12% | 31% | -8.8 | -3.7 | -4.3 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 7,700 from Koshin Asakura | 32% | 14% | 9% | 45% | -0.6 | -20.0 | +1.0 | +19.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,400 from Jun Murakami | 24% | 4% | 7% | 64% | -8.1 | +2.0 | -1.5 | +7.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 4% | 5% | 74% | +2.4 | +1.8 | -0.6 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 5% | 5% | 72% | -21.3 | +36.6 | -13.0 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 18% | 4% | 72% | -3.2 | -12.8 | -3.5 | +19.5 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 1% | 2% | 1% | 96% | +1.8 | -10.3 | +9.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | +0.5 | +4.4 | -8.7 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.2 | +15.0 | -5.7 | -3.1 |