Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.7 | +0.2 | +4.9 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 22% | 25% | 28% | 25% | +15.9 | -4.2 | +1.5 | -13.3 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 33% | 20% | 29% | 18% | -3.4 | -1.4 | +8.6 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 29% | 20% | 36% | 15% | +17.0 | -14.2 | -2.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 45% | 12% | 30% | 14% | -0.3 | -1.2 | -31.8 | +33.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 11% | 11% | 34% | -0.8 | +11.7 | -7.0 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 16% | 9% | 32% | +31.0 | -10.3 | -7.0 | -13.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 78% | 6% | 4% | 12% | +3.0 | -2.2 | +1.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 81% | 5% | 4% | 11% | +1.5 | -1.2 | +3.5 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 82% | 5% | 4% | 8% | -3.4 | -5.0 | +8.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 4% | 5% | 8% | -4.4 | -19.4 | +33.6 | -9.7 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 77% | 0% | 17% | 5% | +11.2 | -0.2 | -4.3 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 94% | 0% | 3% | 3% | +4.4 | -1.9 | +1.5 | -4.0 |