Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -6.3 | +0.1 | +6.3 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 20% | 25% | 30% | 26% | +17.9 | -2.8 | -2.0 | -13.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 33% | 22% | 28% | 17% | -4.7 | -3.5 | +9.2 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 28% | 18% | 37% | 17% | +17.3 | -12.9 | -1.3 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 43% | 11% | 31% | 14% | +0.7 | -0.8 | -33.9 | +34.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 45% | 11% | 11% | 34% | -0.8 | +10.8 | -5.3 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 16% | 9% | 31% | +30.3 | -9.4 | -7.9 | -13.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 7% | 4% | 11% | +4.0 | -3.4 | +2.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 5% | 3% | 9% | +0.9 | -2.0 | +3.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 82% | 5% | 5% | 9% | -3.5 | -5.2 | +9.6 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 4% | 5% | 8% | -4.1 | -17.5 | +32.2 | -10.6 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 78% | 0% | 16% | 6% | +11.1 | -1.1 | -4.4 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 0% | 3% | 3% | +4.3 | -1.5 | +2.1 | -4.9 |