Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +10.2 | -9.3 | -0.1 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 18% | 24% | 26% | -2.9 | +2.9 | +5.3 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 21% | 27% | 23% | -9.3 | -17.7 | -10.0 | +37.0 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 9% | 19% | 52% | -2.6 | +12.2 | -8.4 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 15% | 14% | 53% | -5.6 | -23.9 | +30.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 5% | 32% | 50% | +5.3 | +2.3 | -4.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 18% | 6% | 29% | 47% | -4.1 | +4.9 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 9% | 31% | 47% | -32.9 | +35.6 | -0.4 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 27% | 30% | 41% | -3.1 | -5.5 | +8.9 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 19% | 38% | 41% | -4.1 | -8.4 | -12.2 | +24.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 14% | 79% | -0.8 | -7.0 | +0.5 | +7.3 |