Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/21 Game 2

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +34.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Sasaki Hisato● Shiratori Sho● Hagiwara Masato● Nikaido Aki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sasaki● Shiratori● Hagiwara● Nikaido
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato25%26%24%24%+9.8-12.3+2.4+0.1
East 1, 1 honbaDraw32%18%26%24%-5.0+3.8+2.8-1.6
East 2, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00029%20%28%23%-8.8-18.2-7.1+34.1
East 3Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,20021%9%20%51%-3.0+14.3-11.1-0.2
East 4Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato18%15%15%52%-3.6-23.2+29.8-3.0
South 1Draw14%6%32%47%+3.6+1.9-3.5-2.0
South 1, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato18%8%29%46%-2.0+2.8+1.3-2.0
South 2Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho16%9%31%44%-35.4+38.4-0.7-2.3
South 2, 1 honbaDraw2%27%30%41%-2.6-8.6+10.6+0.7
South 3, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 2,7001%18%40%41%-3.3-6.8-13.0+23.1
South 4Draw0%8%14%77%-1.3-7.3-0.2+8.8

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)