Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/23 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -18.6 | -7.0 | -6.6 | +32.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 18% | 19% | 51% | +0.3 | -1.7 | -1.4 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 16% | 18% | 54% | -9.5 | -12.0 | +33.0 | -11.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 10% | 41% | 40% | -1.1 | -0.1 | +5.0 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 8% | 10% | 45% | 36% | -2.7 | +25.1 | +2.4 | -24.8 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 23% | 50% | 19% | -3.1 | -2.3 | -3.9 | +9.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 21% | 46% | 26% | +25.8 | -7.1 | -1.1 | -17.6 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 18% | 48% | 15% | -10.7 | -1.5 | +15.1 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 15% | 67% | 11% | -6.4 | -8.6 | +8.5 | +6.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 5% | 81% | 12% | -2.1 | -7.4 | +16.0 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -9.9 | +26.9 | -5.2 | -11.9 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 1% | 95% | 3% | -3.3 | -0.6 | -1.0 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 2% | 95% | 3% | -19.4 | -9.0 | -3.0 | +31.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 2% | 87% | 11% | +0.1 | -8.3 | +7.5 | +0.7 |