Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/23 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -18.7 | -8.1 | -4.4 | +31.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 17% | 18% | 51% | +0.2 | -1.7 | 0.0 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 14% | 19% | 54% | -9.3 | -10.7 | +32.2 | -12.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 10% | 42% | 39% | -0.5 | +0.2 | +5.0 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 9% | 11% | 46% | 34% | -3.9 | +24.8 | -0.2 | -20.7 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,000 | 8% | 23% | 49% | 20% | -2.9 | -2.4 | -3.4 | +8.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 22% | 45% | 27% | +25.0 | -5.7 | -1.4 | -17.8 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 20% | 46% | 16% | -10.5 | -2.3 | +16.7 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 15% | 66% | 12% | -3.8 | -10.3 | +9.8 | +4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 4% | 82% | 10% | -3.2 | -6.7 | +14.1 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -9.8 | +27.1 | -4.7 | -12.6 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -4.2 | -0.7 | -1.0 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 2% | 94% | 4% | -18.9 | -10.5 | -3.4 | +32.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 2% | 86% | 12% | -0.1 | -6.9 | +8.1 | -1.0 |