Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

12/23 Game 2

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +44.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Go Kobayashi● Kenji Katsumata● Yuumi Uotani● Takaharu Ooi0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Go● Kenji● Yuumi● Takaharu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00028%24%23%25%-20.1-7.5-4.6+32.2
East 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,20012%18%19%51%-2.3-9.8+13.0-0.9
East 3Exhaustive draw10%12%27%51%-0.4-1.7+5.9-3.8
East 3, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 12,00011%11%32%47%+30.7-8.2-15.8-6.7
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata30%9%20%41%-1.6-16.8-4.0+22.4
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw22%3%13%62%-2.9-0.6+6.3-2.7
South 1, 2 honbaExhaustive draw20%3%17%61%-6.6-1.1+7.8-0.1
South 2, 3 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 12,00013%3%22%62%+44.0-13.3-11.9-18.8
South 3Exhaustive draw62%0%11%27%+6.7+2.4-9.1-0.1
South 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata77%0%2%22%+9.3-4.2+3.6-8.7

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)