Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/24 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -2.7 | +20.5 | -19.9 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 40% | 14% | 24% | +1.6 | -1.8 | +3.2 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 39% | 16% | 22% | -6.4 | -5.3 | -13.9 | +25.6 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 33% | 7% | 42% | -9.5 | -13.7 | -6.3 | +29.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 9% | 14% | 4% | 73% | +6.3 | -6.3 | -1.1 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Maruyama Kanako | 9% | 11% | 3% | 77% | -4.2 | +10.3 | -6.7 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 14% | 3% | 79% | -9.1 | +32.1 | -7.7 | -15.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 45% | 1% | 51% | +7.2 | -12.0 | -1.6 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 30% | 1% | 65% | +7.7 | -4.3 | -5.8 | +2.4 |
| South 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 22% | 0% | 73% | -6.7 | -6.2 | +4.6 | +8.3 |