Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/24 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Date Arisa, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +41.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -1.8 | +14.2 | +0.4 | -12.8 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 22% | 36% | 25% | 17% | +2.1 | -3.2 | -14.0 | +15.2 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 33% | 18% | 26% | -6.7 | +17.8 | -9.4 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 49% | 10% | 24% | +36.8 | -9.9 | -6.5 | -20.4 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 49% | 35% | 6% | 10% | -1.8 | +0.4 | +3.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 35% | 8% | 9% | +2.9 | -8.7 | +14.0 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 55% | 26% | 13% | 7% | +3.1 | +10.2 | -10.7 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 58% | 33% | 2% | 7% | -21.6 | +41.8 | -28.8 | +8.6 |