Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/24 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Arisa Date, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -3.0 | +13.8 | -0.5 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 23% | 34% | 25% | 19% | +1.4 | -1.5 | -13.0 | +13.2 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 32% | 17% | 26% | -4.3 | +17.2 | -9.7 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 48% | 10% | 24% | +36.0 | -8.6 | -7.5 | -19.9 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 48% | 35% | 7% | 10% | -1.9 | -1.5 | +4.9 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 5,200 | 49% | 33% | 8% | 10% | +0.7 | -7.2 | +13.8 | -7.3 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 52% | 26% | 13% | 8% | +5.8 | +9.4 | -11.0 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 60% | 32% | 2% | 6% | -22.6 | +42.6 | -28.9 | +8.9 |