Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/27 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +15.1 | -6.4 | -7.1 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 21% | 21% | 21% | -9.1 | +14.0 | -1.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 29% | 31% | 20% | 20% | +0.9 | -2.4 | -13.6 | +15.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 27% | 13% | 30% | -3.5 | +3.7 | +4.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 31% | 15% | 26% | +24.6 | -4.8 | -13.9 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 49% | 24% | 7% | 20% | -35.6 | +3.0 | -1.5 | +34.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 17% | 28% | 7% | 48% | -13.4 | -3.2 | +2.7 | +13.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 21% | 7% | 63% | -25.5 | +31.5 | +1.4 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 46% | 4% | 48% | +21.6 | -29.3 | -0.8 | +8.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 20% | 6% | 67% | -14.1 | -4.1 | +19.8 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 18% | 12% | 67% | +41.4 | -26.3 | -12.0 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 5% | 9% | 67% | -3.9 | -2.8 | -12.2 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 96% | +4.0 | -17.1 | +14.8 | -1.7 |