Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/27 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +13.6 | -4.5 | -6.4 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 21% | 21% | 22% | -9.9 | +15.1 | 0.0 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 32% | 20% | 20% | +3.1 | -4.1 | -15.5 | +16.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 31% | 27% | 13% | 29% | -4.3 | +6.5 | +2.3 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 33% | 13% | 27% | +24.6 | -7.5 | -11.0 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 49% | 24% | 7% | 20% | -36.6 | +1.2 | -0.8 | +36.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 16% | 25% | 7% | 52% | -13.0 | 0.0 | +2.0 | +11.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 21% | 6% | 63% | -25.4 | +29.6 | +1.8 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 45% | 4% | 49% | +22.6 | -26.7 | -2.2 | +6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 22% | 5% | 65% | -14.5 | -4.4 | +19.6 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 20% | 10% | 67% | +41.3 | -28.8 | -10.7 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 4% | 9% | 70% | -2.4 | -1.9 | -12.9 | +17.3 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 95% | +2.5 | -17.1 | +15.6 | -1.0 |