Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/27 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +2.5 | +1.2 | -2.2 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | +43.2 | -14.8 | -14.5 | -13.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 65% | 12% | 11% | 13% | -21.0 | -10.9 | +41.6 | -9.8 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 43% | 9% | 39% | 10% | +11.2 | -9.7 | -1.4 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 52% | 4% | 35% | 9% | +1.4 | -11.4 | -1.8 | +11.7 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 2% | 31% | 12% | -1.6 | +15.8 | -0.5 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 56% | 5% | 33% | 7% | +12.3 | -11.6 | -2.3 | +1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 2% | 25% | 4% | -7.4 | -7.0 | -5.1 | +19.6 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100 | 64% | 2% | 23% | 12% | +4.3 | -4.3 | -0.6 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 71% | 0% | 19% | 10% | +8.7 | -0.3 | -6.0 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 0% | 5% | 7% | +4.9 | +0.2 | +2.7 | -7.8 |