Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/27 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | +4.6 | -2.2 | -1.1 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 29% | 23% | 24% | 25% | +42.3 | -15.1 | -14.9 | -12.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 64% | 10% | 12% | 14% | -20.1 | -10.9 | +41.5 | -10.5 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 42% | 9% | 38% | 11% | +10.1 | -9.0 | 0.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 52% | 4% | 35% | 8% | +2.0 | -11.4 | -1.4 | +10.9 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 2% | 34% | 11% | -0.6 | +15.9 | -2.7 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 56% | 5% | 33% | 7% | +12.8 | -10.1 | -3.8 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 3% | 22% | 5% | -8.5 | -7.2 | -3.6 | +19.2 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 64% | 2% | 22% | 13% | +4.5 | -5.1 | -0.4 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 72% | 0% | 18% | 10% | +8.1 | -0.5 | -6.2 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +5.4 | +0.4 | +3.3 | -9.0 |