Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
12/28 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -2.6 | +21.1 | +0.7 | -19.2 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 41% | 23% | 13% | -4.5 | -12.4 | -3.9 | +20.7 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 30% | 23% | 26% | -15.5 | -17.4 | +47.3 | -14.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 9% | 15% | 63% | 13% | +4.1 | +0.3 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 15% | 60% | 13% | -14.9 | -14.7 | -18.1 | +47.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 8% | 36% | 50% | -2.2 | +1.7 | -3.8 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 10% | 30% | 54% | +14.3 | -6.4 | -2.7 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 11% | 8% | 30% | 51% | +6.3 | -1.7 | -2.1 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 8% | 31% | 49% | -11.8 | -3.3 | +17.0 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 5% | 6% | 46% | 44% | +5.0 | -7.1 | -3.4 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 5% | 1% | 41% | 53% | +0.3 | +0.2 | +14.1 | -14.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 1% | 63% | 30% | +2.9 | -5.8 | +1.2 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 5% | 1% | 64% | 30% | +2.9 | +1.3 | +5.0 | -9.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 5% | 1% | 74% | 21% | -3.6 | -2.3 | +1.4 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 1% | 73% | 23% | +10.8 | -2.4 | -8.0 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,600 from Nikaido Aki | 10% | 0% | 70% | 20% | -7.3 | -2.8 | +15.7 | -5.5 |