Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/21 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +53.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 27% | 22% | 24% | -13.9 | -7.9 | -2.2 | +24.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 21% | 20% | 43% | -3.2 | +7.1 | -2.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 24% | 20% | 41% | -1.6 | -4.1 | +8.2 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 23% | 24% | 39% | +0.6 | -0.4 | -8.5 | +8.3 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 14% | 20% | 18% | 48% | +23.9 | +1.6 | +1.8 | -27.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 25% | 21% | 23% | -3.2 | +6.5 | -3.8 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 28% | 20% | 26% | +27.6 | -10.5 | -8.7 | -8.5 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 57% | 14% | 12% | 16% | -49.9 | -1.3 | +53.6 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 10% | 14% | 60% | 17% | -22.8 | +22.5 | -0.5 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 27% | 60% | 13% | -5.1 | -7.3 | +20.3 | -7.9 |