Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/21 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +51.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -12.8 | -5.1 | -3.6 | +21.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 20% | 21% | 42% | -2.3 | +7.8 | -2.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 25% | 20% | 39% | -2.6 | -5.3 | +6.4 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 22% | 24% | 40% | +0.2 | +1.0 | -7.2 | +6.0 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 21% | 19% | 46% | +23.7 | +1.0 | +1.2 | -25.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 29% | 24% | 21% | 26% | -2.4 | +5.9 | -2.8 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 28% | 21% | 24% | +26.7 | -10.2 | -8.2 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 56% | 15% | 13% | 16% | -49.0 | +0.1 | +51.3 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 10% | 15% | 59% | 16% | -22.0 | +20.5 | +1.4 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 25% | 62% | 12% | -6.1 | -6.4 | +19.3 | -6.8 |