Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/22 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+89.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 48,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +105.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.6 | +4.4 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 28% | 23% | 25% | -10.2 | +31.3 | -9.6 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 55% | 16% | 15% | -4.2 | -12.1 | +25.6 | -9.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 42% | 34% | 11% | -6.0 | -0.7 | -13.6 | +20.2 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 12% | 43% | 23% | 22% | -2.1 | -1.6 | +27.6 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 8% | 38% | 46% | 8% | +4.7 | +3.5 | -5.2 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 48,000 | 10% | 43% | 40% | 7% | +105.9 | -40.0 | -40.5 | -25.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 9,600 | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +10.9 | -4.4 | -3.2 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -3.0 | -0.3 | +0.9 | +2.5 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +0.8 | +2.0 | -6.5 | +3.7 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +2.3 | +2.7 | -2.7 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -7.0 | -21.9 | -22.5 | +51.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | -16.9 | +18.0 | -0.3 |