Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/22 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+89.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 48,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +105.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -2.5 | +6.2 | +0.1 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 28% | 25% | 23% | -11.4 | +31.3 | -9.9 | -9.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 54% | 16% | 16% | -3.8 | -12.8 | +24.1 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 41% | 33% | 13% | -7.6 | -2.5 | -10.1 | +20.3 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 12% | 40% | 25% | 24% | +1.6 | +0.8 | +23.4 | -25.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 38% | 45% | 8% | +3.9 | +4.4 | -5.4 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 48,000 | 11% | 43% | 39% | 7% | +105.9 | -41.2 | -39.2 | -25.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 9,600 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +10.5 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -3.5 | +0.6 | -0.4 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +1.0 | +1.1 | -5.0 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 100% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +2.6 | +3.0 | -4.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -7.2 | -22.3 | -22.1 | +51.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | -16.8 | +17.9 | -0.2 |