Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/22 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -14.1 | -2.8 | +2.5 | +14.4 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 15% | 23% | 26% | 36% | +1.1 | -0.7 | +12.8 | -13.2 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 22% | 37% | 26% | +14.6 | -1.4 | -10.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 22% | 27% | 26% | -5.0 | +0.1 | +1.2 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 22% | 22% | 29% | 27% | -2.2 | -1.5 | +30.7 | -27.0 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 17% | 58% | 9% | -7.6 | -2.0 | +12.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 7% | 12% | 75% | 6% | -31.0 | +36.0 | -6.4 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 36% | 59% | 5% | -0.8 | -6.0 | +3.2 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 28% | 67% | 5% | -3.9 | -2.6 | +2.3 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 19% | 76% | 5% | +3.5 | -6.9 | +9.7 | -6.3 |