Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/24 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 23% | 27% | 25% | +44.5 | -11.5 | -19.0 | -14.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +4.9 | -2.4 | 0.0 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 11% | 11% | 12% | -8.2 | -5.9 | -8.2 | +22.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 9% | 9% | 23% | +8.5 | -5.2 | -1.1 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 69% | 6% | 7% | 18% | -33.2 | -1.0 | +34.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 36% | 8% | 30% | 26% | +0.3 | -3.4 | -1.5 | +4.7 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 36% | 8% | 27% | 29% | +3.3 | +3.8 | +4.3 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 8% | 31% | 20% | +33.1 | -7.8 | -15.6 | -9.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 4% | 11% | 8% | -3.2 | +2.9 | +5.3 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 76% | 4% | 13% | 7% | +3.5 | -6.4 | -7.9 | +10.7 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 83% | 0% | 8% | 9% | +4.9 | +33.1 | -32.6 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +8.1 | -15.9 | -5.2 | +13.0 |