Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/24 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +46.8 | -17.5 | -16.5 | -12.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 65% | 11% | 12% | 13% | +2.6 | +1.9 | -1.9 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 13% | 11% | 11% | -8.9 | -9.3 | -4.4 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 58% | 10% | 11% | 22% | +9.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 69% | 5% | 7% | 20% | -33.3 | -2.4 | +37.7 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 36% | 7% | 31% | 26% | +3.9 | -2.2 | -4.2 | +2.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 40% | 7% | 25% | 27% | -0.8 | +5.6 | +1.2 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 10% | 27% | 23% | +31.5 | -7.6 | -11.3 | -12.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 74% | 4% | 12% | 10% | -1.9 | +2.1 | +4.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 75% | 4% | 13% | 8% | +4.3 | -6.2 | -6.7 | +8.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 83% | 1% | 8% | 8% | +5.0 | +31.8 | -32.5 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +7.7 | -14.8 | -6.1 | +13.1 |