Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/25 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -2.3 | +11.7 | -1.5 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 23% | 32% | 26% | 19% | -3.5 | +30.0 | -28.5 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 17% | 57% | 8% | 18% | -26.0 | +24.7 | +2.1 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 81% | 5% | 10% | -3.2 | +4.4 | +1.0 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 85% | 4% | 8% | -3.2 | -6.9 | -4.5 | +14.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 79% | 4% | 14% | +3.7 | -3.4 | +2.7 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 76% | 6% | 14% | -11.1 | -6.9 | +28.7 | -10.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 70% | 16% | 12% | -2.0 | +0.5 | -5.5 | +7.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 72% | 11% | 14% | -2.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | +8.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 68% | 10% | 19% | -2.2 | +1.4 | -2.8 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 68% | 9% | 21% | +20.7 | -0.7 | -6.7 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 6% | 73% | 8% | 14% | +14.5 | -13.3 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 60% | 10% | 18% | -19.6 | +30.1 | -4.4 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 91% | 3% | 5% | -0.8 | +2.6 | -0.4 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 93% | 3% | 4% | -11.2 | -10.7 | +32.0 | -10.1 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 86% | 11% | 3% | -9.5 | +4.2 | -6.4 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Win | 0% | 94% | 1% | 5% | -3.1 | +5.4 | +5.1 | -7.4 |