Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/25 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -2.1 | +10.2 | -0.4 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 32% | 23% | 22% | -0.5 | +27.3 | -25.3 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 19% | 55% | 10% | 17% | -27.5 | +26.9 | -0.1 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 80% | 6% | 10% | -2.9 | +4.4 | +1.8 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 85% | 5% | 7% | -3.7 | -7.1 | -3.4 | +14.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 3% | 79% | 5% | 12% | +3.9 | -1.6 | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 78% | 5% | 14% | -11.0 | -9.3 | +29.8 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 69% | 16% | 12% | -2.4 | +1.5 | -4.0 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 72% | 12% | 13% | -2.1 | -4.1 | -4.0 | +10.2 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 68% | 11% | 19% | -2.7 | +2.1 | -2.3 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 69% | 9% | 20% | +20.7 | -1.1 | -6.9 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 73% | 8% | 13% | +13.1 | -13.1 | -0.9 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 59% | 11% | 20% | -17.5 | +29.0 | -3.6 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 90% | 4% | 5% | +0.1 | +4.7 | -3.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 94% | 2% | 4% | -11.3 | -11.5 | +33.5 | -10.7 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 86% | 10% | 4% | -10.5 | +3.8 | -5.8 | +12.5 |
| South 4 | Win | 0% | 93% | 2% | 5% | -3.0 | +5.7 | +4.5 | -7.2 |