Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/25 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+82.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kobayashi Go ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -21.7 | -1.5 | +23.7 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 24% | 40% | 24% | -4.0 | +3.7 | +1.3 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 10% | 26% | 42% | 23% | +0.4 | -18.8 | -0.4 | +18.8 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 8% | 14% | 40% | 38% | -1.8 | +11.2 | -10.8 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 21% | 31% | 39% | -32.5 | -3.8 | -7.2 | +43.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 8% | 12% | 80% | -2.4 | -7.4 | +21.7 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 6% | 28% | 65% | +28.9 | -13.2 | -6.6 | -9.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 6% | 30% | 60% | -5.4 | -2.0 | +7.1 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 5% | 35% | 59% | -8.6 | -1.6 | -7.3 | +17.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 84% | -2.3 | +0.9 | -6.5 | +7.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -0.4 | -2.0 | +1.7 | +0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -16.4 | +3.8 | -1.8 | +14.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.9 |