Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/25 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+82.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Go Kobayashi ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +40.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -25.4 | -0.1 | +26.1 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 24% | 44% | 22% | +0.1 | +4.9 | -4.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 6,400 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 28% | 38% | 23% | -2.8 | -20.9 | +2.6 | +21.2 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 9% | 13% | 40% | 38% | -1.4 | +11.0 | -11.9 | +2.3 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 9% | 19% | 30% | 42% | -32.2 | -2.2 | -6.2 | +40.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 8% | 13% | 79% | -3.2 | -7.7 | +23.1 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 6% | 30% | 63% | +29.0 | -13.5 | -8.4 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 5% | 28% | 63% | -3.9 | -2.4 | +6.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 4% | 34% | 61% | -9.3 | -1.3 | -6.5 | +17.1 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 85% | -2.3 | +1.7 | -6.3 | +6.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -0.1 | -1.9 | +2.3 | -0.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -16.8 | +3.2 | -2.3 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.4 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -1.2 |