Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/28 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -13.0 | -0.4 | +0.3 | +13.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 23% | 25% | 35% | +6.7 | -5.8 | -4.5 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 18% | 22% | 39% | -8.5 | -2.7 | -13.2 | +24.3 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 16% | 11% | 62% | -8.2 | -8.4 | +26.2 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 12% | 26% | 52% | +17.8 | -4.9 | -5.3 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 11% | 25% | 44% | +9.6 | -3.5 | -3.6 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 9% | 22% | 42% | -14.9 | +24.3 | -7.4 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 17% | 23% | 19% | 41% | +16.5 | +0.5 | -3.9 | -13.2 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 29% | 22% | 18% | 30% | +4.3 | +17.4 | -15.6 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 33% | 38% | 9% | 20% | -14.4 | -14.8 | -3.4 | +32.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 15% | 7% | 61% | -12.0 | +8.5 | -13.2 | +16.7 |