Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/28 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -12.1 | +2.9 | -1.2 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 27% | 24% | 33% | +5.5 | -9.0 | -2.1 | +5.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 19% | 24% | 37% | -6.2 | -5.0 | -13.3 | +24.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 62% | -9.5 | -5.4 | +25.7 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 13% | 27% | 51% | +16.6 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -6.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 11% | 27% | 44% | +12.9 | -3.4 | -6.0 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 10% | 21% | 40% | -17.1 | +24.9 | -6.7 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 18% | 22% | 19% | 41% | +17.2 | -0.6 | -2.5 | -14.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 30% | 21% | 20% | 29% | +4.3 | +16.4 | -16.3 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 33% | 36% | 10% | 21% | -13.9 | -13.9 | -4.5 | +32.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 17% | 16% | 6% | 60% | -12.6 | +8.6 | -12.6 | +16.6 |