Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/29 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +16.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +0.2 | +3.1 | -1.0 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 27% | 23% | 24% | +6.6 | -1.9 | -3.3 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 30% | 26% | 21% | 23% | -3.3 | +5.7 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 27% | 29% | 22% | 22% | +7.3 | -4.7 | +1.5 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 33% | 25% | 22% | 20% | +15.8 | -0.9 | -6.8 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 49% | 23% | 14% | 14% | +6.0 | +3.9 | -2.7 | -7.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 55% | 24% | 13% | 9% | -6.3 | -6.8 | -5.0 | +18.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 51% | 20% | 12% | 17% | -4.6 | +3.7 | +4.7 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 44% | 24% | 14% | 17% | +12.2 | -2.2 | -8.4 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 62% | 16% | 9% | 13% | -2.9 | -3.4 | +9.9 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 57% | 16% | 14% | 13% | +16.9 | +0.1 | -4.1 | -12.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 84% | 6% | 2% | 7% | +6.6 | +9.1 | -1.4 | -14.4 |