Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/29 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +16.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | +3.2 | +4.3 | -2.1 | -5.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 29% | 22% | 23% | +7.4 | -1.9 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 27% | 21% | 21% | -3.1 | +5.2 | -2.7 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 30% | 19% | 22% | +5.7 | -6.7 | +4.1 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 34% | 25% | 22% | 20% | +16.4 | +0.5 | -6.6 | -10.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 23% | 15% | 13% | +5.4 | +2.8 | -2.7 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 55% | 24% | 13% | 9% | -5.9 | -5.9 | -6.6 | +18.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 20% | 11% | 18% | -4.1 | +2.1 | +6.6 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 46% | 23% | 15% | 16% | +10.0 | -1.1 | -7.6 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 16% | 11% | 15% | -1.2 | -3.3 | +7.9 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 58% | 15% | 14% | 14% | +16.5 | +0.7 | -4.0 | -13.2 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,100 | 85% | 6% | 2% | 8% | +7.0 | +8.3 | -1.0 | -14.2 |