Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/31 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -1.3 | +19.8 | -0.1 | -18.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 40% | 23% | 14% | -8.2 | +2.1 | +4.8 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 43% | 26% | 14% | +2.1 | +4.0 | -8.0 | +1.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 46% | 20% | 15% | +0.6 | -3.1 | -23.0 | +25.5 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 19% | 43% | 10% | 27% | -3.6 | +3.4 | -5.5 | +5.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 46% | 6% | 33% | +2.5 | -1.7 | +4.0 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 45% | 10% | 28% | -28.2 | -3.9 | -0.6 | +32.7 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 32% | 5% | 62% | -0.2 | -5.0 | -1.8 | +6.9 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 9,600 | 1% | 21% | 4% | 74% | -12.3 | -7.5 | +25.1 | -5.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 19% | 12% | 68% | -1.2 | -3.5 | +7.5 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 18% | 17% | 65% | +3.2 | -4.7 | +4.1 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 16% | 20% | 63% | -2.8 | +10.6 | -14.3 | +6.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 19% | 6% | 75% | +0.8 | -3.5 | -6.6 | +9.3 |