Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
3/31 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -4.0 | +21.3 | -1.4 | -15.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 40% | 23% | 15% | -6.9 | +4.2 | +2.6 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 44% | 24% | 15% | +2.5 | +2.3 | -6.5 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 18% | 46% | 21% | 16% | +0.9 | -1.8 | -22.0 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 43% | 11% | 28% | -3.6 | +1.5 | -4.7 | +6.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 16% | 44% | 7% | 32% | +2.5 | +0.3 | +1.4 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 17% | 47% | 8% | 28% | -28.7 | -4.2 | +1.9 | +31.0 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 33% | 6% | 60% | -1.0 | -6.5 | -2.1 | +9.5 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 9,600 | 1% | 20% | 5% | 75% | -11.0 | -6.9 | +24.6 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 18% | 13% | 68% | -1.4 | -4.2 | +7.6 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 17% | 17% | 66% | +2.9 | -3.7 | +4.3 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 16% | 21% | 61% | -2.4 | +9.5 | -14.6 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 17% | 7% | 76% | +0.6 | -2.4 | -7.2 | +9.0 |